NJ-GOV: Sherrill Leads in New Jersey

[RandySF]

A new Fox News poll finds Mikie Sherrill leading Jack Ciattarelli by 52% to 45% heading into the last few days of the New Jersey governor’s race.



https://politicalwire.com/2025/10/30/sherrill-leads-in-new-jersey/

[Starbeach]

1. Come on NJ

You can't go red.

[Celerity]

2. the poll results:

There’s a 17-point gender gap, as Sherrill leads by 16 points among women, while it’s Ciattarelli +1 point among men. Ciattarelli is favored by 4 points among White voters and by 10 points among men without a college degree. Fully 98% of self-identified MAGA supporters are backing him.

Sherrill is preferred by 48 points among non-whites, 24 points among voters younger than 45, and 16 points among those with a college degree. Some 97% of Democrats support Sherrill, while Ciattarelli gets 92% among GOPers. Seven percent of Republicans say they are backing Sherrill compared to only 1% of Democrats voicing support for Ciattarelli. (There are too few independents to break out.)

More New Jersians think Sherrill is honest and trustworthy than say the same about Ciattarelli. He’s in negative territory by 6 points on this measure (47% honest vs. 53% dishonest), while she’s in positive territory by 13 points (56% vs. 43%). It’s about the same for their favorability ratings. Sherrill has a net positive rating by 9 points (54% favorable vs. 45% unfavorable).

Ciattarelli’s rating is underwater by 6 points (46% vs. 52%). Some 28% have a strongly favorable view of each candidate, but by a 9-point margin more have a strongly unfavorable opinion of Ciattarelli than Sherrill. On handling top issues, voters trust Ciattarelli on crime by 3 points. Sherrill is favored by wider margins to handle the cost of living (+8), taxes (+9), energy costs (+10), and healthcare (+16).

[no_hypocrisy]

3. That's not even close.

I've read online about a multiple of polls having them almost neck-to-neck.

I call bullsh*t. Almost telling Independents to stay home, that their votes won't make a difference.