Can Crockett hold her seat in the House? I hope so.

[OAITW r.2.0]

[SSJVegeta]

1. Filing deadline already passed I believe

[OAITW r.2.0]

6. She's got a national future, regardless of how this works out.

IMHO

[SSJVegeta]

7. I'm not so hopeful

[Celerity]

30. Yes, but in the media, and likely not elected politics.

Now we need the christofash crim Paxton to win the Rethug run-off over Cornyn and we just might win the Senate seat (Talarico v Paxton was the ideal match-up before the voting started).

[Enter stage left]

2. I was wondering about that too!

Anybody know?

[LeftInTX]

23. No. She could only file for one race. She chose senate. Texas had a primary for every partisan seat yesterday. .

All of the congressional seats now have a general election candidate or are heading into a runoff.

[JT45242]

39. I thought you could run for two seats in texas...lloyd Benson was on for VP and senator

I remember that being a big deal. Or is that only for federal and state office?

Texas residents?

[LeftInTX]

46. Senators only run for office every six years. It's not unusual for them to run for higher office on off years.

Think of Ted Cruz 2016. Elected in 2012. Not up for re-election until 2018. Free to run for office in 2016

[JT45242]

47. In 1988 he was on the ballot for both Senate and VP (double checked)

Apparently LBJ pushed a law through in 1959 so he could run for Senate and VP in the same election in case JFK lost.

Apparently, according to an NPR article https://www.npr.org/sections/politicaljunkie/2009/04/on_this_day_in_1959_texas_pass.html

it is specific to Senate and either VP or President not two seats in the legislature.

[Deuxcents]

3. I wondered this too, especially after we lost Katie Porter

[Marie Marie]

14. And I hate that we lost Katie and might lose Jasmine.

They both had such a way with simple language projecting a powerful message. We need them both back in Washington.

[ananda]

4. No.

She would have to change districts and
run in that primary.

[Coventina]

5. No, she forfeits her seat to run.

Per MS NOW discussion earlier.

[Frasier Balzov]

8. I want her to be Talarico's chief of staff.

A senator's chief of staff's salary is almost as much as the senator's salary.

The two of them together could be a powerful joint force advancing legislative policy objectives if they see those objectives in essentially the same way.

Is this practical? Or do they hate each other's guts? I certainly hope not.

[MichMan]

9. That's not going to happen

[LeftInTX]

24. I agree!!!

[niyad]

18. So she should go from being an elected member of Congress

with national visibility to being an invisible staffer? Do you have any idea how sexist and offensive that sounds, whatever your actual intentions with that post may be?

[Frasier Balzov]

20. I mean if Talarico wins the nomination.

If Crockett has lost, then what will be her visibility?

Will she campaign for him and be a media surrogate for him?

That would be great! But then what of her future after November?

If Talarico wins the seat, I think the offer should at least be made.

Whoever he might otherwise have in mind for the job can't possibly be as big help to him and the People of Texas as Jasmine Crockett would be.

Unless she litigates her primary loss and the two of them end up hating each other's guts.

[Skittles]

26. no way in hell is that going to happen

NOPE

[Cha]

37. I just Hope the Very Best for Jasmine Crockett's

Future...She's a Strong Voice For Our Democracy!

[pinkstarburst]

41. I don't see that happening

[Orangepeel]

10. I think she was redistricted out.

Part of why she ran for Senate

[H2O Man]

12. Correct

[MichMan]

11. Perhaps she can run as an independent

Not sure of the rules in Texas

[Brother Buzz]

15. No, Texas has a reasonable strong Sore Loser election law

Texas Election Code - ELEC § 162.015. Restrictions on Candidacy in General Election by Candidate or Voter in Primary

Current as of January 01, 2024 | Updated by Findlaw Staff

(a) A person who voted at a primary election or who was a candidate for nomination in a primary is ineligible for a place on the ballot for the succeeding general election for state and county officers as:

(1) an independent candidate for an office for which a candidate was nominated in the primary; or

(2) the nominee of a political party other than the party holding the primary in which the person voted or was a candidate.

(b) A person who was a candidate for nomination in a primary election is ineligible for a place on the list of write-in candidates for the succeeding general election for state and county officers as a write-in candidate for the office sought by that candidate in the primary.

[MichMan]

16. I wish every state did

[LeftInTX]

25. I did not know this!

[Pisces]

17. No spoilers, Democrats have no business being sore losers.

[themaguffin]

42. Absolutely not. Why in the world should the vote be divided in a state where Dems haven't won a senate seat in decades?

or for any reason. Let some right winger run as independent.

[Towlie]

45. Even if she ran as an Independent it would only split our vote and hand the seat to the GOP.

Voting with more than two choices is always flawed. A fictitious example:

Crockett (I), 30%
Talarico (D), 30%
Paxton (R) 40%

60% voted against Paxton in favor of a Democrat, yet Paxton wins.

[Melon]

13. She's out. Re-districting took her seat.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

19. No, Crockett was gerrymandered out of her seat

Crockett ran for senate because she was gerrymandered out You can not run for two positions at the same time in Texas

[karynnj]

21. No, the primary was today

[Witnessof Trump]

22. That's it for Crockett

No more to be seen.

[Celerity]

27. MS NOW contract inbound for January 2027....

[Witnessof Trump]

29. Yep

[thought crime]

33. Candidate for President in 2028 or VP Pick ?

She could do very well in primary debates.

[Celerity]

36. I doubt either. She may run for POTUS in 2028, but will have little chance (IMHO) of winning the Dem nomination.

I see very little chance we risk nominating a female POTUS candidate for the 3rd time in the last 4 cycles. The US is simply too misogynistic atm.

Also, the US deep racism and religious bias (against non Christians) needs to be taken into account. Same for homophobia (especially against gay men, as lesbians tend to have easier times getting elected now).

As for VP, she presents a chance to become a focal point of attacks from the right designed to scare off swing voters, moderates, centrists, white suburbanites, etc, which breaks the old rule number 1 for VP chosing (do no harm).

On election night 2024, when it was clear that Harris had lost, I predicted 2 white, straight, centre left Christian males as our 2028 ticket.

As a mixed race (genetic WWIII in a human body, lol: mum is a Bajan (Barbados) mixed race black/etc West Indian, plus white Swedish (my father is 100 per cent Swede), Han Chinese, Lebanese, Sephardic Portuguese Jewish, East Indian, etc), lesbian, atheist, social democratic (NOT democratic socialist) type progressive female, that prediction pains me, but I am nothing if not a realist and pragmatic when it comes to my predictions and what is needed to win in a fucked up Trumpian-inflected splintered national electoral ecosphere.

Crockett comes with more inherent risk than potential gain IMHO.

Same for AOC and a 2028 POTUS run. Hopefully she runs for Schumer's NY Senate seat in 2028, whether he runs for re-election again or not, as she is blocked from House leadership by the moderate/centrist/conservative Dem caucuses (with help as of late, sadly, from the retiring Pelosi). Some of groups (and individual members of them) detest AOC, like many in the extraordinarily problematic (on many issues and stances) No Labels-spawned Problem Solvers Caucus.

That all said, I absolutely respect a differing opinion in regards to my predictions.

Cheers,

Cel

[thought crime]

43. Good analysis; you're probably right as usual.

I'm just tired of Democrats being so risk-averse, to the point that it probably turns off some voters; especially young voters. I agree that AOC's best move is to run for Senate, but I would love to see Jasmine Crockett in the presidential primaries, partly to make them more exciting and draw viewers, but I also do think she is so bright and interesting that she could take off like a rocket in those debates.

My worst fear is that she would opt to be some panelist on a CNN show when we have such a need for better elected officials.

[Celerity]

44. IMHO Crockett should have run for re-election in either her current district (TX-30) or where her home is now drawn (TX-

33, which has parts of her old district in it now).

It is not like she is vastly geographically removed from the new TX-30, map, and there is no requirement at all to live within a boundary of a House district. Multiple Dems have lived outside of the House districts they represented or currently represent.

2 very well-known examples: Maxine Waters is one, and the now deceased John Conyers lived outside his old Detroit district for ages.

[oasis]

28. I wouldn't bet on that. I doubt she's done with

politics.

[Skittles]

31. LOL

sure, bro

[Witnessof Trump]

32. Bra..

Bro

[Skittles]

34. it would appear to be the GOP who LOST

they would very much have preferred Crockett so they could pull their usual racist, misogynist bullshit

[Witnessof Trump]

35. Ok

[Cha]

38. Oh Jasmine Crockett Will BE Seen Again.

[Torchlight]

48. Sounds serious

Good luck!

[Wiz Imp]

40. She remains in her current seat through the end of the year.