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Aviation Pro

(15,468 posts)
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 04:10 PM 18 hrs ago

There are 33 Senate seats up for reelection

We need at least 61 seats to ensure cloture on any Bill; to keep the child molesting motherfucker from naming any more judges; and to keep the likes of Fetterfuck from becoming the new Tugboat Joe.

I don’t care if seats are in ruby red states, they need to be challenged, every single goddamn one of them.

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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There are 33 Senate seats up for reelection (Original Post) Aviation Pro 18 hrs ago OP
Damn right! MAGA must be flushed! Initech 18 hrs ago #1
Easy to say but Jersey Devil 17 hrs ago #2
???? Wiz Imp 16 hrs ago #3
Does that site's odds continuously go up and down? Polybius 14 hrs ago #10
Yes Wiz Imp 13 hrs ago #11
We only need 52 seats to block nominees from confirmation Fiendish Thingy 16 hrs ago #4
Fetterman has voted for a grand total of ONE Trump judge. Wiz Imp 15 hrs ago #5
Exactly, which is why must only elect senators who won't do that kind of shit. Nt Fiendish Thingy 14 hrs ago #6
Then quit acting like Fetterman is a problem when it comes to voting for judges Wiz Imp 14 hrs ago #7
He is a trouble maker in many areas Fiendish Thingy 14 hrs ago #8
Like I said, there's plenty to criticize him about Wiz Imp 14 hrs ago #9

Jersey Devil

(10,824 posts)
2. Easy to say but
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 04:21 PM
17 hrs ago

difficult to convince donors that they aren't just throwing their money away on impossible candidacies. Sure we can field candidates in all the Senate races, but can they really be competitive without money?

Wiz Imp

(9,722 posts)
3. ????
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 05:25 PM
16 hrs ago

The Democrats will without doubt try to win every possible Senate seat, but the odds of getting to 60 seats would be more than a trillion to one.

Current chances of Democrats winning the each of the current Republican Senate seats (as of 2 weeks ago):
https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/26#google_vignette

Idaho 1.3%
West Virginia 1.3%
Tennessee 1.4%
Oklahoma 1.5%
Wyoming 1.6%
Arkansas 1.9%
Alabama 2.1%
Louisiana 2.4%
South Dakota 3.1%
Mississippi 3.7%
Kentucky 4.0%
South Carolina 6.0%
Montana 8.1%
Kansas 15.9%
Florida 17.9%
Nebraska 23.3%
Iowa 25.9%
Texas 32.2%
Alaska 33.3%
Maine 54.5%
Ohio 64.4%
North Carolina 85.6%

Getting a simple majority is still an uphill battle. The thought of 60 seats is an insane fantasy.

Polybius

(21,782 posts)
10. Does that site's odds continuously go up and down?
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 08:05 PM
14 hrs ago

They have Ohio at 59.9% Dem, which I still think is high.

Wiz Imp

(9,722 posts)
11. Yes
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 08:26 PM
13 hrs ago
Our goal at RacetotheWH is to help our viewers understand the current political landscape. Using our election forecast and polling, they can determine which races are in play and which candidates stand the best chance of winning. We project the outcome of every single House, Senate, Presidential, and Governor race in the nation, and we’ve designed our graphics to make it as easy to use as possible.

Simply put, we've meticulously analyzed each race using our battle-tested election forecast, and we're offering you straightforward insights free of charge. They are updated daily with the latest information and polling.

Track Record:

In 2022, we arguably had the best track record in the nation. While most forecasters were more confident that the GOP would have a strong midterm performance, we were one of only two forecasters to correctly anticipate that Democrats would break historic trends and hold on to the Senate.

We also called the highest number of individual Senate and Governor races correctly and came second in predicting the winner of the House race, trailing FiveThirtyEight by one seat.

Fiendish Thingy

(22,811 posts)
4. We only need 52 seats to block nominees from confirmation
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 05:28 PM
16 hrs ago

(Assuming Fetterman is a loose cannon)

And, in 2029, we will still only need 51 seats to pass legislation reversing the damage from the Trump era, if we elect only senators willing to kill the filibuster (and expand the court).

Support for Killing the filibuster and expanding the court is my personal litmus test for any senate candidate who wants my financial support.

Wiz Imp

(9,722 posts)
5. Fetterman has voted for a grand total of ONE Trump judge.
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 06:50 PM
15 hrs ago

On the other hand:

During Trump’s second term, 19 Democrats have voted to confirm at least one of Trump’s nominees. New Hampshire Senators Maggie Hassan and Jeanne Shaheen have voted to confirm six and seven nominees, respectively, and Rhode Island senator Sheldon Whitehouse, who sits on the Judiciary Committee, has voted for five. Among Senate Democrats, Durbin and Virginia Senator Tim Kaine are tied for the lead in this ignominious category with eight yes votes apiece.

Among Democrats on the Judiciary Committee, only Blumenthal, New Jersey Senator Cory Booker, and California Senator Alex Padilla have opposed every judicial nominee in committee. Every other member of the committee has decided at least once that they are willing to lend bipartisan credibility to Trump’s judicial appointments—creating the perception that his extreme nominees might not actually be reactionary, election-denial sympathizers who are willing to say whatever it takes to get Trump to entrust them with a lifetime judgeship.

https://ballsandstrikes.org/nominations/senate-democrats-trump-nominees-committee-votes/
Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee:
Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI)
Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)
Chris Coons (D-DE)
Richard Blumenthal (D-CT)
Mazie Hirono (D-HI)
Cory Booker (D-NJ)
Alex Padilla (D-CA)
Peter Welch (D-VT)
Adam Schiff (D-CA)

Wiz Imp

(9,722 posts)
7. Then quit acting like Fetterman is a problem when it comes to voting for judges
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 07:27 PM
14 hrs ago

There are lots of things to criticize Fetterman for. His votes on Trump's judges are not one of them. Yet he is the one person you singled out as the reason Democrats need at least 52 Senators as if Fetterman is voting for every Trump Judge when he's only voted for ONE, while people who voted for 8 or 9 were ignored.

Fiendish Thingy

(22,811 posts)
8. He is a trouble maker in many areas
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 07:48 PM
14 hrs ago

Like today’s war power vote.

He will be retired when his term ends in 2028, so he won’t be able to sabotage the next Dem president.

Wiz Imp

(9,722 posts)
9. Like I said, there's plenty to criticize him about
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 07:57 PM
14 hrs ago

But you chose to single him out on an issue where there are about 20 other Democrats more deserving of criticism.

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