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PeaceWave

(3,364 posts)
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 12:11 AM 13 hrs ago

James Carville predicts Democrats will have 55-45 majority in the Senate...

I don't profess to know what the man is smoking these days, but it's apparently quite good:

https://www.thedailybeast.com/james-carvilles-shock-midterm-prediction-will-terrify-donald-trump/

“So your prediction right now is Democrats will take both the House and the Senate at this stage?” Daily Beast political reporter Sarah Ewall-Wice asked Carville.

“With ease—not just ‘take,’” he responded. “I mean, I’m talking about eight Senate seats or something like that. But if you look at where we are at this moment, I don’t know how a person could honestly draw another conclusion… Right now, all of the evidence would have pointed to 55.”

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James Carville predicts Democrats will have 55-45 majority in the Senate... (Original Post) PeaceWave 13 hrs ago OP
lol also hillary and kamala will be president nt msongs 13 hrs ago #1
yeah, i think it's time for Carville to sit back and just enjoy the ride Eddie Haskell 60 12 hrs ago #7
He also predicted SocialDemocrat61 13 hrs ago #2
Are we sure she didn't? littlemissmartypants 10 hrs ago #16
He is well past his shelf life. GP6971 12 hrs ago #3
Very concerning to be supported by Carville. Melon 12 hrs ago #4
I'm just going to post the same thing I say every time his name pops up in a thread Takket 12 hrs ago #5
Carville is a relic and I've made fun of him myself. But I think he really just chooses to be optimistic about elections FascismIsDeath 12 hrs ago #6
I don't see how dsc 12 hrs ago #8
I agree many of those are BIG stretches. karynnj 12 hrs ago #10
Dude had better name some Senate races, because Bluetus 12 hrs ago #9
Yeah I see 51 max fujiyamasan 11 hrs ago #13
I can understand antibellum SC not voting for Democrats, but Bluetus 2 hrs ago #20
James Carville - who had a moment over thirty years ago - has become... Morbius 12 hrs ago #11
Recommended. H2O Man 12 hrs ago #12
Carville is desperate for attention. His predictive record is poor. Celerity 11 hrs ago #14
Groan. After Obama won in 2008 Carville predicted that Democrats would rule for the next 40 years. question everything 10 hrs ago #15
I would not be so quick to dismiss Carville Deminpenn 8 hrs ago #17
Trump's disaster in Iran is a big political change newdeal2 5 hrs ago #19
I'm going with this: Jim, dlilafae 7 hrs ago #18
We need 60+ chowder66 1 hr ago #21

Eddie Haskell 60

(90 posts)
7. yeah, i think it's time for Carville to sit back and just enjoy the ride
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 12:24 AM
12 hrs ago

Like me, I'm HORRIBLE at presidential predictions. I thought no way a Barack Hussein Obama would be elected less than 10 years after 9/11, or no way Trump would get elected.

Takket

(23,712 posts)
5. I'm just going to post the same thing I say every time his name pops up in a thread
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 12:17 AM
12 hrs ago

He is never right about anything and I’m shocked that any person actually asks for his opinions.

FascismIsDeath

(172 posts)
6. Carville is a relic and I've made fun of him myself. But I think he really just chooses to be optimistic about elections
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 12:19 AM
12 hrs ago

It might be something he does just to keep himself sane.

dsc

(53,390 posts)
8. I don't see how
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 12:40 AM
12 hrs ago

Current is 53/47. We would need 8. ME, NC, IA, OH, TX, and MT gets us 6 and that is a stretch. And in AK and then what?

karynnj

(60,959 posts)
10. I agree many of those are BIG stretches.
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 12:49 AM
12 hrs ago

Alaska is less a stretch than MT or IA. Hard to think of any others than perhaps a very strange win in SC, where Trump has endorsed Graham. That plus incumbency means he likely gets the nomination. His extreme support on Iran might make that your 8th given your other 7 win.

Bluetus

(2,770 posts)
9. Dude had better name some Senate races, because
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 12:45 AM
12 hrs ago

just about everybody who is looking closely at this says:

* We should keep Minnesota and New Hampshire.
* We have a puncher's chance of holding Georgia, and Michigan and picking up Maine and N Carolina.

That would get us to 49, which is 2 short of control, considering Vance breaks ties. Where are the other 6 coming from?

* I'd like to think Brown has a chance in Ohio, but Ohio has been lost for a long time.
* Can we beat Cornyn? That would be a big upset, but not impossible
* Can Petola win in Alaska? Maybe

I have no idea where the other 3 could come from. It would be great to knock out Graham, but is that even a possibility?

Just getting to 51 would be huge. But we can't go forward with Schumer as Majority Leader.

fujiyamasan

(1,684 posts)
13. Yeah I see 51 max
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 01:32 AM
11 hrs ago

Texas is a real tough uphill climb. Paxton is unlikable, but even then democrats haven’t won a statewide race in over 30 years, which is really insane. I think Cornyn will be even tougher to beat. Talarico is a great candidate, but I still think the other major races you listed are more likely winnable.

Brown has a good chance, but Ohio hasn’t ceased to disappoint in recent years. Hopefully Huster Ramadumbass go down hard. I especially can’t stand the latter’s smug face.

SC will continue voting for Graham. I lived in the state for some time. Nothing will change their mind out there. I just hope democrats won’t waste too much money donating to his opponent this time.

I think Peltola may be one of the bright spots. I’m glad she was recruited to run.

Bluetus

(2,770 posts)
20. I can understand antibellum SC not voting for Democrats, but
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 10:27 AM
2 hrs ago

how the hell can they vote for Graham? I don't see anything attractive about him. He seems like an utterly loathsome creature, regardless of one's politics.

Morbius

(995 posts)
11. James Carville - who had a moment over thirty years ago - has become...
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 12:53 AM
12 hrs ago

...one of those people who say outrageous things because it gets them attention.

It's an outrageous prediction from a man with little credibility who just wants some TV time. I recommend paying little mind to this old man with a little mind.

H2O Man

(79,028 posts)
12. Recommended.
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 12:54 AM
12 hrs ago

In a very real sense, I think that is a possibility. The way things are going, it actually could happen. Yet anything can happen in the months between now and Election Day. However, considering the utter lack of talent in the administration, I do not think they have the capacity to deal with issues in a positive way. Indeed, they are now learning a very old lesson in life: one might think they can control violence, and for a brief time, it may appear that they can. But it turns out that the violence actually controls them, and forces them out of control.

question everything

(52,107 posts)
15. Groan. After Obama won in 2008 Carville predicted that Democrats would rule for the next 40 years.
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 02:42 AM
10 hrs ago

Deminpenn

(17,501 posts)
17. I would not be so quick to dismiss Carville
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 04:27 AM
8 hrs ago

He no longer works as a consultant meaning he's around regular people a lot more, listening and observing. If he's feeling a populist surge in the air way down in Louisiana, think about what that means for the rest of the country.

Personally, it's my sense, too, that this could be a 1932 level Dem wave. I can feel it, tell me honestly you can't.

newdeal2

(5,397 posts)
19. Trump's disaster in Iran is a big political change
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 07:26 AM
5 hrs ago

He is raising costs through the roof and most of that will hit over the summer and fall even if the hostilities end right now.

dlilafae

(440 posts)
18. I'm going with this: Jim,
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 06:10 AM
7 hrs ago

I'm banking on the Resident having so much fun (burning through all of our/US taxpayer money), that he decides to stage some nefarious type of intervention(s).

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