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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsJames Carville predicts Democrats will have 55-45 majority in the Senate...
I don't profess to know what the man is smoking these days, but it's apparently quite good:
https://www.thedailybeast.com/james-carvilles-shock-midterm-prediction-will-terrify-donald-trump/
So your prediction right now is Democrats will take both the House and the Senate at this stage? Daily Beast political reporter Sarah Ewall-Wice asked Carville.
With easenot just take, he responded. I mean, Im talking about eight Senate seats or something like that. But if you look at where we are at this moment, I dont know how a person could honestly draw another conclusion
Right now, all of the evidence would have pointed to 55.
msongs
(73,730 posts)Eddie Haskell 60
(90 posts)Like me, I'm HORRIBLE at presidential predictions. I thought no way a Barack Hussein Obama would be elected less than 10 years after 9/11, or no way Trump would get elected.
SocialDemocrat61
(7,616 posts)Harris would win
littlemissmartypants
(33,471 posts)GP6971
(37,995 posts)Melon
(1,523 posts)Takket
(23,712 posts)He is never right about anything and Im shocked that any person actually asks for his opinions.
FascismIsDeath
(172 posts)It might be something he does just to keep himself sane.
dsc
(53,390 posts)Current is 53/47. We would need 8. ME, NC, IA, OH, TX, and MT gets us 6 and that is a stretch. And in AK and then what?
karynnj
(60,959 posts)Alaska is less a stretch than MT or IA. Hard to think of any others than perhaps a very strange win in SC, where Trump has endorsed Graham. That plus incumbency means he likely gets the nomination. His extreme support on Iran might make that your 8th given your other 7 win.
Bluetus
(2,770 posts)just about everybody who is looking closely at this says:
* We should keep Minnesota and New Hampshire.
* We have a puncher's chance of holding Georgia, and Michigan and picking up Maine and N Carolina.
That would get us to 49, which is 2 short of control, considering Vance breaks ties. Where are the other 6 coming from?
* I'd like to think Brown has a chance in Ohio, but Ohio has been lost for a long time.
* Can we beat Cornyn? That would be a big upset, but not impossible
* Can Petola win in Alaska? Maybe
I have no idea where the other 3 could come from. It would be great to knock out Graham, but is that even a possibility?
Just getting to 51 would be huge. But we can't go forward with Schumer as Majority Leader.
fujiyamasan
(1,684 posts)Texas is a real tough uphill climb. Paxton is unlikable, but even then democrats havent won a statewide race in over 30 years, which is really insane. I think Cornyn will be even tougher to beat. Talarico is a great candidate, but I still think the other major races you listed are more likely winnable.
Brown has a good chance, but Ohio hasnt ceased to disappoint in recent years. Hopefully Huster Ramadumbass go down hard. I especially cant stand the latters smug face.
SC will continue voting for Graham. I lived in the state for some time. Nothing will change their mind out there. I just hope democrats wont waste too much money donating to his opponent this time.
I think Peltola may be one of the bright spots. Im glad she was recruited to run.
Bluetus
(2,770 posts)how the hell can they vote for Graham? I don't see anything attractive about him. He seems like an utterly loathsome creature, regardless of one's politics.
Morbius
(995 posts)...one of those people who say outrageous things because it gets them attention.
It's an outrageous prediction from a man with little credibility who just wants some TV time. I recommend paying little mind to this old man with a little mind.
H2O Man
(79,028 posts)In a very real sense, I think that is a possibility. The way things are going, it actually could happen. Yet anything can happen in the months between now and Election Day. However, considering the utter lack of talent in the administration, I do not think they have the capacity to deal with issues in a positive way. Indeed, they are now learning a very old lesson in life: one might think they can control violence, and for a brief time, it may appear that they can. But it turns out that the violence actually controls them, and forces them out of control.
Celerity
(54,373 posts)question everything
(52,107 posts)Deminpenn
(17,501 posts)He no longer works as a consultant meaning he's around regular people a lot more, listening and observing. If he's feeling a populist surge in the air way down in Louisiana, think about what that means for the rest of the country.
Personally, it's my sense, too, that this could be a 1932 level Dem wave. I can feel it, tell me honestly you can't.
newdeal2
(5,397 posts)He is raising costs through the roof and most of that will hit over the summer and fall even if the hostilities end right now.
dlilafae
(440 posts)I'm banking on the Resident having so much fun (burning through all of our/US taxpayer money), that he decides to stage some nefarious type of intervention(s).