Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Pototan

(3,163 posts) Sat Apr 11, 2026, 05:27 AM Yesterday

Betting Market makes Tom Steyer favorite in Cal. Gov.

The betting markets have moved quickly to write Eric Swalwell's political obituary and make Tom Steyer the odds-on favorite. Overnight, Swalwell dropped 36% to just a 3.4% chance of winning, while Steyer jumped 21% to lead this betting market as having a 52% chance of winning.

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovca/california-governors-race/kxgovca-26

3 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Betting Market makes Tom Steyer favorite in Cal. Gov. (Original Post) Pototan Yesterday OP

Tech bro favourite Matt Mahan (the Dem mayor of San Jose) has now also really moved up. He is a clear 2nd at 21%. Celerity Yesterday #1

Why would anybody vote for either of them choie Yesterday #2

We need to win this thing Pototan Yesterday #3

Celerity

(54,571 posts)

1. Tech bro favourite Matt Mahan (the Dem mayor of San Jose) has now also really moved up. He is a clear 2nd at 21%.

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat Apr 11, 2026, 06:02 AM

Yesterday

choie

(6,940 posts)

2. Why would anybody vote for either of them

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat Apr 11, 2026, 06:43 AM

Yesterday

over Katie Porter? She has real experience and progressive chops.

Pototan

(3,163 posts)

3. We need to win this thing

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat Apr 11, 2026, 06:44 AM

Yesterday

I don't care who the Democrat is, as long as he or she finishes in the top two.

It's not just the Governor's race, but if Republicans finish one and two, it will depress votes in the Congressional races, down ballot.

Reply to this discussion