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WhiskeyGrinder

(27,486 posts)
Thu Jul 2, 2026, 08:29 PM Jul 2

Two Maine Polls Just Dropped. Is It Time to Fret About Graham Platner?

https://newrepublic.com/article/212683/maine-senate-polls-graham-platner

Two major polls of the Maine Senate race dropped this week, and they told the same story: The race is incredibly close, and Democrat Graham Platner has real work to do among the working class. He’s running an aggressively left-populist, antiestablishment campaign targeting the billionaire class—and boasts lots of blue-collar appeal—but GOP Senator Susan Collins is way ahead among those voters. Why?

(snip)
But note this: In the Times poll, Platner trails among voters without a college degree, a proxy for the working class, by 37–58. In the Fox poll, that’s 41–56. What’s driving this? One possibility: The Times poll has working-class voters saying Platner has “good character” by 37–57 and “the right kind of moral values” by 36–57.

On the plus side, Platner leads in the Times survey among women by 52–44, among young people by 59–32, and among college-educated voters by 66–32. But Platner’s candidacy is all about his blue-collar aura: He’s a tattooed oyster farmer who speaks openly—in that deep, gravelly voice—about his trauma from serving in combat. Though his backstory is somewhat more privileged (his father is an Ivy League graduate and lawyer), he speaks in a left-populist idiom that seeks to connect with working people’s struggles. So his numbers among them are concerning.

(snip)

Asked to respond to Platner’s struggles with working people, Adam Green, the head of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee—an early booster of Platner’s candidacy—acknowledged that he has more work to do among them. But he cast this as an opportunity. “Most working-class people who are low-propensity voters don’t know him yet,” Green said. “But once they do, he’s an obvious fit for them.”



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Autumn

(49,066 posts)
2. Concerned Susan Collins doesn't have any problems with the working class people in her state?
Fri Jul 3, 2026, 07:48 AM
Jul 3

Interesting.

Emile

(44,325 posts)
3. Personal power scares the crap out of centrists.
Fri Jul 3, 2026, 08:01 AM
Jul 3

I still support Graham Platner our democratic candidate for Senator.

MineralMan

(152,155 posts)
5. That Was Guaranteed to Be a Close Race
Fri Jul 3, 2026, 10:06 AM
Jul 3

I mean, Collins has been re-elected multiple times. So, she apparently has support from many voters in Maine. Why would anyone think that support would suddenly go away? She hasn't changed a bit.

It will be a close race right up through election day. I have my fingers crossed, but am far from certain she will lose.

Midwestern Democrat

(1,064 posts)
8. Agreed - I never thought our chances of beating her were more than 50/50 - realistically, probably less.
Fri Jul 3, 2026, 11:11 AM
Jul 3

Collins is the last - at the federal level, at least - of an almost extinct political category - "the (relatively) liberal Yankee Republican". All the others were eliminated about 20 years ago. The fact that she has survived long after that shows quite a bit of personal popularity that's been able to withstand national trends - on our side, "the conservative Southern Democrat" is certainly extinct.

Ars Longa

(733 posts)
6. I wonder if she will debate Platner?
Fri Jul 3, 2026, 10:41 AM
Jul 3

Last edited Fri Jul 3, 2026, 12:09 PM - Edit history (1)

She, reportedly had five with Sarah Gideon in 2020.
I hope the Platner campaign demands at least five debates.

ITAL

(1,471 posts)
9. Hmmm
Fri Jul 3, 2026, 11:16 AM
Jul 3

I still think Mills would have been a better General Election candidate against Collins given she's proven she can win statewide there. But unfortunately she didn't fire up the base.

newdeal2

(5,705 posts)
11. Do the same voters think Trump has good character or moral values?
Fri Jul 3, 2026, 11:16 AM
Jul 3

They probably still voted for Trump. These types of questions are meaningless in predicting who will win.

Ars Longa

(733 posts)
12. I saw her on a CNN segment a short while back..
Fri Jul 3, 2026, 12:08 PM
Jul 3

Last edited Fri Jul 3, 2026, 01:28 PM - Edit history (1)

Without getting ageist, she looks too old for the Senate job!
I don't get what the attraction of her is for any Maine voter.
And that's BEFORE we get into all her bad voting record and
connections to Trump--and all his baggage!

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