Foreign Affairs

TexasTowelie

(124,545 posts) Sat Nov 15, 2025, 02:39 AM Nov 15

Epstein Exception? Why a Diversionary War in Venezuela Is a Bad Idea - William Spaniel

The first window for major military action in Venezuela has arrived, right as the Epstein files are dominating U.S. headlines. As a result, there is much speculation that Trump will begin a war in Venezuela for the purposes of distracting the media, the public, and Congress from less flattering stories. Today, we take a deep dive into diversionary war. This video explains why if a hypothetical war in Venezuela begins for that purpose, it will mostly not work---with one very important exception.

0:00 A Diversionary War in Venezuela?
2:03 What Is a Diversionary War?
4:42 Manufacturing a Rally 'Round the Flag
6:02 Diversionary Incentives as a Cause of War
7:32 Trump's Potential Diversionary Plans
11:25 Trust Issues
13:27 Target Issues
18:07 Timing Issues
18:53 The Epstein Files and Bandwidth Issues

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Epstein Exception? Why a Diversionary War in Venezuela Is a Bad Idea - William Spaniel (Original Post) TexasTowelie Nov 15 OP

He may not. mwmisses4289 Nov 15 #1

mwmisses4289

(2,874 posts)

1. He may not.

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Sat Nov 15, 2025, 08:42 AM

Nov 15

Why?
Venezuela is already pushing back, and Bolivia and Columbia have both said they would help Venezuela if trump attacks. Brazil also said they would help Venezuela (back when t first started floating this idea some months ago). T wants their resources, he thought they would be an easy target, and he's finding that they are willing to fight back.

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