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pat_k

(12,885 posts)
3. My Take
Wed Feb 11, 2026, 10:38 PM
Wednesday

They already use party affiliation numbers that lag behind the reality (i.e., that fail to capture the accelerating exodus from the Republican party).

The thing is, that steady 90% support among Republicans is actually bullshit because the proportion of self-identified Republicans in the population is shrinking, and that shrinkage hasn't been accounted for. And I think they know it.

If they corrected sampling to actual proportions of Independents, Dems, and Repubs at a specific slice in time-- not what they found when averaging findings from interviews conducted over the course of 2025 -- things would look so much worse for the regime.

Rather than fixing the models and dealing with the lawsuits and tantrums of even MORE abysmal numbers for the regime, they are opting out.

This is just my take. I have no proof or inside information, but I see a number of indicators that this is what's going on.

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