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DallasNE

(7,841 posts)

22. The Headline Number Is Better Than Expected, However

Reply to BumRushDaShow (Original post)

Fri May 2, 2025, 11:31 AM

May 2025

Some statistical issues impact the results. For instance, March job gains were reduced downwards by 43,000 jobs and a reminder that a large number of government workers fired are getting severance pay so they count as employed until the severance runs out.

Let’s see what Challenger, Gray and Christmas report on Monday on job cut announcements. That is forward looking so it deserves to be watched.

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mahatmakanejeeves progree

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U.S. payroll growth totals 177,000 in April, topping expectations [View all] BumRushDaShow May 2025 OP

Will this make it less likely the Fed lowers interest? OrlandoDem2 May 2025 #1

We won't really see that much of an effect economically BumRushDaShow May 2025 #4

Yes, the expected # of rate cuts this year has declined mathematic May 2025 #20

Anyone but me question the validity of any numbers coming out of the ShitStains administration? NoMoreRepugs May 2025 #2

I was going to ask the same question gab13by13 May 2025 #3

I posted this in another thread but it's relevant here too. yardwork May 2025 #6

I'd say they are real,temps warming up seasonal hiring is going again. Bengus81 May 2025 #18

The reported numbers (177,000 payroll jobs, 4.2% unemployment rate) are seasonally adjusted progree May 2025 #21

That was my immediate thought. yardwork May 2025 #5

Why not? Republicans always said Biden manipulated the data. Self Esteem May 2025 #7

Yes there is dirtrust in govt. accounting now more than ever which is part of the repuke plan BUT Cheezoholic May 2025 #12

Distrust in this government is warranted and necessary. gab13by13 May 2025 #16

I think that's what I said, giving reasons why. Sorry if i wasn't clear ;) n/t Cheezoholic May 2025 #17

BLS is still independent Johnny2X2X May 2025 #11

Correct. Having worked on the Current Employment Statistics program for close to 35 years, Wiz Imp May 2025 #14

Trump willblame them on Biden when they turn bad Johnny2X2X May 2025 #15

Many federal workers no longer reporting to work are on mahatmakanejeeves May 2025 #25

There are several problems with that. First, staff on admin leave still get paid so they haven't actually been fired. Wiz Imp May 2025 #29

Fork in the Road, Part 2 mahatmakanejeeves May 2025 #30

In my Rebl2 May 2025 #19

first thing that popped into my head rurallib May 2025 #28

i dont trust any data coming from this admin Fullduplexxx May 2025 #31

Sincerely angrychair May 2025 #8

See post #7 MichMan May 2025 #9

LINKS to some BLS Data Series Numbers and Graphs. Also, downward revisions of prior 2 months make it a gain of 119k progree May 2025 #10

Those are good numbers considering FredGarvin May 2025 #13

The Headline Number Is Better Than Expected, However DallasNE May 2025 #22

Thanks. I'll have to add that to the calendar. NT mahatmakanejeeves May 2025 #26

Wouldn't that be the BIDEN payroll growth? Grins May 2025 #23

Enjoy it while you can. louis-t May 2025 #24

Long-term unemployed 27 weeks or longer as a percent of total unemployed progree May 2025 #27

'The Golden Age is here': US Labor Secy. reacts to April jobs data, 5/2/25 progree May 2025 #32

That would have been a "disastrous" number during the Biden administration Orrex May 2025 #33