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dutch777

(4,830 posts)
2. True. Plus if China's chief aim is to take Taiwan and scare Korea and Japan into neutral status, they only...
Wed Dec 24, 2025, 11:14 AM
16 hrs ago

...need to dominate waters out to Japan. No need to attack the US mainland. They will take staggering losses but they probably now, or soon, have more than enough anti ship capabilities to decimate the US, South Korean and Japanese fleets of immediate threat. Likely they will have to level air bases/airports in the whole region to limit immediate tactical response if they plan a land battle for Taiwan. They know they will have to absorb significant damage in the retaliation from US long range bombers but assuming they target US and allied satellites, targeting capability against their mobile forces will be severely degraded. Losses will be high on both sides in personnel and equipment. Only counter to this is if US and allies take a first strike stance if the see China marshalling forces. Possible but highly unlikely.

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