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womanofthehills

(10,989 posts)
24. You-Gov poll, internal poll & exit
Mon Feb 23, 2026, 11:28 PM
Feb 23

Ai

- A January 2025 poll by YouGov, commissioned by the Institute for Middle East Understanding (IMEU) Policy Project, surveyed voters nationwide and found that among those who supported Joe Biden in 2020 but did not vote for Harris in 2024 (or stayed home), 29% cited "ending Israel's violence in Gaza" as the top issue influencing their decision. This ranked higher than the economy (24%) or immigration (11%). The poll highlighted this as a significant factor in reduced Democratic turnout, especially in swing states like Michigan, where Harris underperformed compared to Biden's 2020 margins.



- The Democratic National Committee's (DNC) internal "autopsy" report on the 2024 election, as reported in February 2026, concluded that the Biden-Harris administration's pro-Israel stance on Gaza was a "net-negative" for the campaign. Based on the party's own data, it cost Harris votes, particularly among younger and progressive voters, leading to lower support in key battleground states. This review was not made public, but details were shared with pro-Palestinian groups like IMEU.

- Exit polls and post-election analyses, such as those from CNN, The Washington Post, and Fox News, showed Harris winning young voters (ages 18-29) by only 11 points in 2024, compared to Biden's 24-point margin in 2020—a 13-point shift toward Trump. In Michigan cities with large Arab American populations like Dearborn, Harris received about 22,000 fewer votes than Biden did in 2020, with some analyses attributing this directly to frustration over Gaza policy.

These findings suggest that while Gaza was not the sole reason for Harris's defeat, it played a measurable role in eroding support from key Democratic constituencies.

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Russian bots and no doubt GOP operatives pushed this to divide the the party. usonian Feb 23 #1
here is the proper link Celerity Feb 23 #2
I would be interested in knowing what the impact of other positions karynnj Feb 23 #17
Thank you for the link now in the OP. PufPuf23 Feb 23 #19
Fuck all this nitpicking, what about the big things - Russian interferance and corporate money? groundloop Feb 23 #3
And Republican ownership of media... Chemical Bill Feb 24 #28
Add it to the list. A whole lot of things cost her votes. thesquanderer Feb 23 #4
She was a great candidate who was poorly placed by a botched primary. travelingthrulife Feb 23 #6
Actually the short campaign window wasn't short enough Shrek Feb 23 #9
More time wouldn't necessarily have helped, but... thesquanderer Feb 23 #15
This message was self-deleted by its author Omaha Steve Feb 23 #5
Large portions of the world population believe that the Israeli state apparatus, IDF, and settler conduct Prairie Gates Feb 23 #7
So they voted for Trump. That makes perfect sense. yardwork Feb 23 #8
It cost the Dems something to believe that sentiment could be ignored and belittled Prairie Gates Feb 23 #10
How do you know they made that calculation? yardwork Feb 23 #12
We all saw the kids out in the streets against the war womanofthehills Feb 23 #23
Note that I agree with you. PufPuf23 Feb 23 #20
How did that work out for them? Mz Pip Feb 23 #11
Allowing a genocide isn't good Prairie Gates Feb 23 #13
Can't find it at the link Mysterian Feb 23 #14
Sufficient to change the outcome? Grins Feb 23 #16
The reason made the post was that the story was the top of the Times of Israel liveblog. PufPuf23 Feb 23 #21
You-Gov poll, internal poll & exit womanofthehills Feb 23 #24
Yeah, they sure showed her Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Feb 23 #18
Supporters of the choices being made by Israel poured lots of funds via PufPuf23 Feb 23 #22
Remember Trump lying big time during his campaign womanofthehills Feb 23 #25
No RandySF Feb 23 #26
IMO, she lost because Trump's lies, fear-mongering and bigotry attracted more votes than decency. Doodley Feb 23 #27
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