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BumRushDaShow

(172,794 posts)

2. It depends on the intensity of the ENSO state

Reply to WestMichRad (Reply #1)

Fri May 22, 2026, 10:42 AM

May 22

The 2024 - 2025 season featured a weak Nina so the shearing was definitely going on with a stronger than usual STJ that pushed storms away from the coasts along with dips in the Polar jet that continued to steer the storms away.

Anything that scooted below the STJ was able to get further west (like the one that hit Jamaica last year) before it got caught up in it.

This actually has a good description of what happened - https://www.wric.com/news/2025s-extreme-weather-had-the-jet-streams-fingerprints-all-over-it-from-flash-floods-to-hurricanes/

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mahina

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Highlight:

NOAA predicts below-normal hurricane season amid building El Nio [View all] BumRushDaShow May 22 OP

If I recall correctly, WestMichRad May 22 #1

It depends on the intensity of the ENSO state BumRushDaShow May 22 #2

Thank you! WestMichRad May 23 #6

Most welcome! BumRushDaShow May 23 #7

Hah! WestMichRad May 23 #8

The oceans are continuing to warm DemocracyForever May 22 #3

You can always check out Copernicus, which is handled by the EU's mets and climatologists BumRushDaShow May 22 #4

I'm going by my engineer father who well understood the threat of climate chhange DemocracyForever May 23 #5

As a retired chemist BumRushDaShow May 23 #9

My engineer father flew hurricane reconnaissance DemocracyForever May 24 #10

The Hurricane Hunters are a treasure that 45 has now decimated. BumRushDaShow May 24 #11

You're ignoring Ashville, NC in 2024 DemocracyForever May 24 #12

Not ignoring Ashville because the same damn thing happened in the Houston Metro area with Hurricane Harvey in 2017 BumRushDaShow May 24 #13

You're not an engineer or a climate scientist DemocracyForever May 25 #14

Meterologists are not "climate scientists" or "engineers" either BumRushDaShow May 25 #15

Reading a website doesn't make you an expert DemocracyForever May 26 #16

What are you talking about? BumRushDaShow May 26 #17

Stop ignoring my engineer/pilot father's expertise DemocracyForever May 27 #18

So you are not going to answer my question about YOUR science background BumRushDaShow May 27 #19

You refuse to answer my question! DemocracyForever May 28 #20

Here is a direct response BumRushDaShow May 28 #21

Your lack of experience shows once again DemocracyForever May 29 #22