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Celerity

(54,112 posts)
36. I doubt either. She may run for POTUS in 2028, but will have little chance (IMHO) of winning the Dem nomination.
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 03:23 AM
17 hrs ago

I see very little chance we risk nominating a female POTUS candidate for the 3rd time in the last 4 cycles. The US is simply too misogynistic atm.

Also, the US deep racism and religious bias (against non Christians) needs to be taken into account. Same for homophobia (especially against gay men, as lesbians tend to have easier times getting elected now).

As for VP, she presents a chance to become a focal point of attacks from the right designed to scare off swing voters, moderates, centrists, white suburbanites, etc, which breaks the old rule number 1 for VP chosing (do no harm).

On election night 2024, when it was clear that Harris had lost, I predicted 2 white, straight, centre left Christian males as our 2028 ticket.

As a mixed race (genetic WWIII in a human body, lol: mum is a Bajan (Barbados) mixed race black/etc West Indian, plus white Swedish (my father is 100 per cent Swede), Han Chinese, Lebanese, Sephardic Portuguese Jewish, East Indian, etc), lesbian, atheist, social democratic (NOT democratic socialist) type progressive female, that prediction pains me, but I am nothing if not a realist and pragmatic when it comes to my predictions and what is needed to win in a fucked up Trumpian-inflected splintered national electoral ecosphere.

Crockett comes with more inherent risk than potential gain IMHO.

Same for AOC and a 2028 POTUS run. Hopefully she runs for Schumer's NY Senate seat in 2028, whether he runs for re-election again or not, as she is blocked from House leadership by the moderate/centrist/conservative Dem caucuses (with help as of late, sadly, from the retiring Pelosi). Some of groups (and individual members of them) detest AOC, like many in the extraordinarily problematic (on many issues and stances) No Labels-spawned Problem Solvers Caucus.

That all said, I absolutely respect a differing opinion in regards to my predictions.

Cheers,

Cel





Recommendations

7 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Filing deadline already passed I believe SSJVegeta 22 hrs ago #1
She's got a national future, regardless of how this works out. OAITW r.2.0 22 hrs ago #6
I'm not so hopeful SSJVegeta 22 hrs ago #7
Yes, but in the media, and likely not elected politics. Celerity 18 hrs ago #30
I was wondering about that too! Enter stage left 22 hrs ago #2
No. She could only file for one race. She chose senate. Texas had a primary for every partisan seat yesterday. . LeftInTX 19 hrs ago #23
I thought you could run for two seats in texas...lloyd Benson was on for VP and senator JT45242 15 hrs ago #39
Senators only run for office every six years. It's not unusual for them to run for higher office on off years. LeftInTX 7 hrs ago #46
In 1988 he was on the ballot for both Senate and VP (double checked) JT45242 5 hrs ago #47
VP is an appointed position. LBJ did not participate in a 1960 presidential primary. LeftInTX 3 hrs ago #49
I wondered this too, especially after we lost Katie Porter Deuxcents 22 hrs ago #3
And I hate that we lost Katie and might lose Jasmine. Marie Marie 21 hrs ago #14
No. ananda 22 hrs ago #4
No, she forfeits her seat to run. Coventina 22 hrs ago #5
I want her to be Talarico's chief of staff. Frasier Balzov 22 hrs ago #8
That's not going to happen MichMan 22 hrs ago #9
I agree!!! LeftInTX 19 hrs ago #24
So she should go from being an elected member of Congress niyad 20 hrs ago #18
I mean if Talarico wins the nomination. Frasier Balzov 19 hrs ago #20
no way in hell is that going to happen Skittles 19 hrs ago #26
I just Hope the Very Best for Jasmine Crockett's Cha 17 hrs ago #37
I don't see that happening pinkstarburst 12 hrs ago #41
I think she was redistricted out. Orangepeel 21 hrs ago #10
Correct H2O Man 21 hrs ago #12
Perhaps she can run as an independent MichMan 21 hrs ago #11
No, Texas has a reasonable strong Sore Loser election law Brother Buzz 21 hrs ago #15
I wish every state did MichMan 21 hrs ago #16
I did not know this! LeftInTX 19 hrs ago #25
No spoilers, Democrats have no business being sore losers. Pisces 20 hrs ago #17
Absolutely not. Why in the world should the vote be divided in a state where Dems haven't won a senate seat in decades? themaguffin 11 hrs ago #42
Even if she ran as an Independent it would only split our vote and hand the seat to the GOP. Towlie 8 hrs ago #45
She's out. Re-districting took her seat. Melon 21 hrs ago #13
No, Crockett was gerrymandered out of her seat LetMyPeopleVote 20 hrs ago #19
No, the primary was today karynnj 19 hrs ago #21
That's it for Crockett Witnessof Trump 19 hrs ago #22
MS NOW contract inbound for January 2027.... Celerity 18 hrs ago #27
Yep Witnessof Trump 18 hrs ago #29
Candidate for President in 2028 or VP Pick ? thought crime 18 hrs ago #33
I doubt either. She may run for POTUS in 2028, but will have little chance (IMHO) of winning the Dem nomination. Celerity 17 hrs ago #36
Good analysis; you're probably right as usual. thought crime 9 hrs ago #43
IMHO Crockett should have run for re-election in either her current district (TX-30) or where her home is now drawn (TX- Celerity 9 hrs ago #44
I agree with you AZProgressive 3 hrs ago #50
I wouldn't bet on that. I doubt she's done with oasis 18 hrs ago #28
LOL Skittles 18 hrs ago #31
Bra.. Witnessof Trump 18 hrs ago #32
it would appear to be the GOP who LOST Skittles 18 hrs ago #34
Ok Witnessof Trump 18 hrs ago #35
Oh Jasmine Crockett Will BE Seen Again. Cha 16 hrs ago #38
Sounds serious Torchlight 5 hrs ago #48
She remains in her current seat through the end of the year. Wiz Imp 14 hrs ago #40
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Can Crockett hold her sea...»Reply #36