General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Can Crockett hold her seat in the House? I hope so. [View all]Celerity
(54,112 posts)I see very little chance we risk nominating a female POTUS candidate for the 3rd time in the last 4 cycles. The US is simply too misogynistic atm.
Also, the US deep racism and religious bias (against non Christians) needs to be taken into account. Same for homophobia (especially against gay men, as lesbians tend to have easier times getting elected now).
As for VP, she presents a chance to become a focal point of attacks from the right designed to scare off swing voters, moderates, centrists, white suburbanites, etc, which breaks the old rule number 1 for VP chosing (do no harm).
On election night 2024, when it was clear that Harris had lost, I predicted 2 white, straight, centre left Christian males as our 2028 ticket.
As a mixed race (genetic WWIII in a human body, lol: mum is a Bajan (Barbados) mixed race black/etc West Indian, plus white Swedish (my father is 100 per cent Swede), Han Chinese, Lebanese, Sephardic Portuguese Jewish, East Indian, etc), lesbian, atheist, social democratic (NOT democratic socialist) type progressive female, that prediction pains me, but I am nothing if not a realist and pragmatic when it comes to my predictions and what is needed to win in a fucked up Trumpian-inflected splintered national electoral ecosphere.
Crockett comes with more inherent risk than potential gain IMHO.
Same for AOC and a 2028 POTUS run. Hopefully she runs for Schumer's NY Senate seat in 2028, whether he runs for re-election again or not, as she is blocked from House leadership by the moderate/centrist/conservative Dem caucuses (with help as of late, sadly, from the retiring Pelosi). Some of groups (and individual members of them) detest AOC, like many in the extraordinarily problematic (on many issues and stances) No Labels-spawned Problem Solvers Caucus.
That all said, I absolutely respect a differing opinion in regards to my predictions.
Cheers,
Cel