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Wiz Imp

(9,729 posts)
3. ????
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 05:25 PM
19 hrs ago

The Democrats will without doubt try to win every possible Senate seat, but the odds of getting to 60 seats would be more than a trillion to one.

Current chances of Democrats winning the each of the current Republican Senate seats (as of 2 weeks ago):
https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/26#google_vignette

Idaho 1.3%
West Virginia 1.3%
Tennessee 1.4%
Oklahoma 1.5%
Wyoming 1.6%
Arkansas 1.9%
Alabama 2.1%
Louisiana 2.4%
South Dakota 3.1%
Mississippi 3.7%
Kentucky 4.0%
South Carolina 6.0%
Montana 8.1%
Kansas 15.9%
Florida 17.9%
Nebraska 23.3%
Iowa 25.9%
Texas 32.2%
Alaska 33.3%
Maine 54.5%
Ohio 64.4%
North Carolina 85.6%

Getting a simple majority is still an uphill battle. The thought of 60 seats is an insane fantasy.

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